Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 311.956062 354.893218 403.234545 462.014850 531.989199 613.162901 715.239545
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 241.380672 294.514674 359.967232 447.723606 564.163017 716.073185 933.885784
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 202.760865 258.575681 331.417904 435.624607 584.596070 795.970791 1130.327919
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 184.253513 243.825766 325.467635 449.022092 637.791874 927.128988 1429.828568
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 167.033390 227.672820 314.126160 451.176083 672.649662 1035.628014 1721.756946
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 150.504811 210.088382 297.806256 442.293669 687.086709 1112.140519 1978.211957
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 139.221280 198.706497 288.962174 443.168789 716.701892 1219.689231 2326.271005
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 127.398400 185.158185 274.993512 433.223843 724.997965 1288.722269 2616.239192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 118.813535 175.736534 266.430618 431.033607 746.560101 1387.655345 3008.739013
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 107.905110 161.620682 248.703552 410.237254 728.856400 1401.121674 3196.471710
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 105.151575 160.460053 252.477349 428.868081 792.317803 1605.512907 3975.397934
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.596630 161.086156 259.278259 453.974850 873.874219 1874.198518 5085.477940
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 98.142018 154.786137 253.484828 454.335718 903.212363 2027.393139 5935.795514
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 91.264550 145.514692 241.506812 440.834120 898.961349 2093.124652 6526.173627
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.299287 137.402976 230.945168 428.952192 896.463897 2163.559700 7186.089738
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 82.995199 135.643198 232.134157 442.091626 957.594408 2437.738880 8922.300754
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.575759 131.582126 228.503497 444.203841 991.249584 2640.428893 10527.208067
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.255050 125.551093 220.492476 435.493296 994.724778 2747.077995 11749.284758
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.299502 121.871036 216.847256 436.351522 1024.627246 2955.625835 13795.457911
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 68.509483 116.364876 209.068566 426.598060 1022.853692 3050.773403 15258.092103
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 65.737625 112.641029 204.665352 424.449847 1043.026362 3237.757174 17630.971545
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 61.472688 105.786123 193.273600 404.049758 1005.109411 3183.481295 18113.395295
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 60.956624 106.227680 197.264519 422.325815 1089.834193 3670.481801 23989.398727